Pundits have been wrong before and will be wrong again. One, Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report, says it’s a lock for Joe Biden. He’s wrong right now. It’s still too close to call, as Karl Rove, saying the same thing now this publication has been saying for weeks (that it will all come down to Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan) notes.

FNC: “It’s time to “sound the alarm” that Joe Biden is likely to be the next president of the United States, said Dave Wasserman, US House editor for Cook Political Report, on Tuesday…Ultimately according to Cook Political Report’s latest projection, Democrats have 290 electoral votes in the solid, likely, or lean to the left categories. Republicans, meanwhile, have 163 electoral votes in the solid, likely, or lean to the right categories. There are 85 electoral votes ranked as a toss-up.” Granted, Wasserman called 2016 right. He predicted Trump.

I'd like to "sound the alarm" on Joe Biden: he's likely to win next week's presidential election.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 27, 2020

Is this 2016 again? No, says Wasserman, “First, Biden’s lead is larger and much more stable than Clinton’s was at this point. Second, there are far fewer undecided and third-party voters left to woo — reducing the chances of a late break toward one side. And third, the scores of district and state-level polls conducted by the parties to make spending decisions in down-ballot races generally align with national polls showing Trump running behind his 2016 pace, including in key states.”

But GOP ace Karl Rove begs to differ, “Think about it this way, if the president wins every state — let’s take the three Great Lakes states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin [and] put them to the side for a second. If the president wins every one of the rest of the states he won in 2016 and carries Pennsylvania, he’s got 280 electoral votes, 10 more than needed. If he carries Wisconsin out of those three states, only Wisconsin, he’s got 270. If he carries Michigan out of those three states, and loses Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he’s got 276, so the path to victory lies in these states.” Exactly what this analyst has been saying for weeks. Thanks for reading, Karl.

Fox polls today have Biden leading by 12 points in Michigan (52-40 percent), 5 points in Pennsylvania (50-45 percent), and 5 points in Wisconsin (49-44 percent). But don’t believe it. Biden could be leading but not by that much. The last week has been trending for the president. If it keeps up he can take this. But remember, Biden will claim a victory no matter what the numbers and this whole thing is going to the courts.

This piece was written by David Kamioner on October 28, 2020. It originally appeared in DrewBerquist.com and is used by permission.

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